Approaching the fourth wave

So we have complexity, one of these things you can’t control; you just deal with it, or you don’t.

And then, are we tackling complexity? Yes, we are. We do consider complexity more often one may think. We manage complexity whenever we take into account more than one variable, more than one single indicator, historic perspective and long term view, whether as a corporate manager, as an individual, as a coach, or as a console player (think for a second in the difference between Pong tennis of the 70’s Atari and current FIFA15 for any of the consoles, including such a parameters as team chemistry!).

And we are going to do it much better in the future.

However, complex analysis is not wide spread. I can think of two brakes for the extension of complex analysis:

1)      Education. We have been taught to think analytically and to break a problem up in his components and addressing the different components independently. And we have also been taught to act always like this. The only ‘long term’ (not analytical, broad picture) compensations have been principles, moral, religion.

2)      Simple Vision. It is still difficult to explain a decision taken after a complex analysis. And nobody is going to thank you a complexity analysis when the decision seems so obvious (sell!, sell! sell!!).

Systems’ thinking is a great way to tackle complexity. Systemic vision is going to grow in the future; it is just a question of time and nature (or maths).

Systems’ thinking gives us plenty of advantages: collective intelligence is made possible and continuous; long term goals may be considered and monitored; wicked problems may be tackled by combining analytical tools (yes, the ones that provided us with the capacity to reduce disease, increase world food production and put a human on the moon) with system analysis; and fragmented reality acquires sense.       

Systems’ thinking or the ability to see systems is something that can be taught and learned, and the most important, they can be shared.

What we need to progress in systems’ view is tools. Easy to use tools that allow us to represent, share, improve and work together with systems. This may be the clue to jump from one world view to another.

Summing up:

1.      We already tackle complexity, but we are going to do better in the future. You can even think of “dealing with complexity as an ethical imperative” (as Professor Hamid Bouchikhi states).

 2.      Systems’ thinking is an effective way to tackle complexity.

 3.      Tools to translate and share systems’ thinking are next step.

If you are looking for the next blue ocean, think of tools for a systemic analysis. You will be anticipating the fourth wave.

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